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Wednesday, October 24, 2012 Secular Tides Below are two identical charts that I have been following this year, contrasting the US dollar index and the large cap/small cap ratio as expressed by the SPX:RUT. For purposes of expression, the first…
Tuesday, April 7, 2015 Scarcity & Oversupply: The Intriguing Market Dynamics Between EUR:USD, Bunds & Oil While we don’t exactly prescribe to an Ignorance is Bliss methodology that some of our more technical brethren might apply, if you adopt a purely fundamental…
Sunday, July 8, 2012 Running of the Bulls Chart.ly At the end of May as Spain’s IBEX was cascading below their 2009 lows – to 9 year lows, I contrasted the index to the SPX in March of 2009. Sure…
Wednesday, February 19, 2014 Salty Dogs Surf Silver Besides spawning a dangerously misleading quasi-analytic academy of bubble prognosticators and agents of misfortune, the capital-interupted flows from the financial crisis itself wrinkled and deformed the very crust of our financial lithosphere – causing…
Thursday, August 8, 2013 Roll Over $ & Make Room for the € Becoming bearish on the U.S dollar was a major pivot for us. By assuming the dollar was susceptible to another trip lower through the bottom of its…
Wednesday, November 14, 2012 Risk/Reward As expected, weakness has continued in the equity markets this week. However, based on the NDX/SPX topping comparative that I have been highlighting over the past few weeks, the downside exhaustion-proportional equivalent of the pattern…
Wednesday, July 6, 2011 A Rising Tide… A rising tide lifts all boats – is certainly the aphorism of choice looking at the series of correlation studies from the market-data aficionado David Stendahl. David’s most recent data nugget presents various asset…
Wednesday, June 15, 2011 Repetitive Geometry Efficient market theory just goes down easier than – “We’re all made of stardust kiddo.” What I mean by that is the random walk for why a market trades the way it does translates…
Thursday, December 8, 2011 A Return to the Scene of the Crime As if the play by play from our European counterparts wasn’t enough to bring back the traumatic memories of 2008 (quite seriously – it has been verbatim), the…
Friday, April 15, 2011 Relative Exuberance In case you were wondering… I went the full monty at silver today, courtesy of ZSL. 4/19 Update: To catch what will likely be a violent reversal, drawdown on this kind of leveraged trading vehicle…