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Thursday, February 6, 2014 Waiting on the ECB Like clockwork, the ECB met today and generally disappointed participants expectations that Draghi needed to reshape monetary policy to reflect concerns with gathering disinflationary pressures in the eurozone. In as much as…
Friday, March 30, 2012 Waiting for Godot “But that is not the question. Why are we here, that is the question. And we are blessed in this, that we happen to know the answer. Yes, in this immense confusion one…
Monday, May 2, 2011 Violence Begets Violence Violence erupted in the silver market last night in Asian trading. And while the trading volume was thin due to many Asian markets being closed for their respective holidays – the velocity and…
Friday, May 10, 2013 Wag the Dog Interesting times indeed – so much so, we find ourselves questioning certain biases as markets break higher against the backdrop of a slowing world economy. While we have always appreciated and respected the…
Monday, January 16, 2012 Valentine’s Day – the Hangover The thing about divergences…. …is, there should be enough information in the divergence itself to make an educated decision as to which one will maintain trend and which one will break.…
Friday, September 23, 2011 Value Trading It appears that in academic hindsight the markets have ruled out Door # 3 and moved onto the remaining outcomes; either continuing down the slope of hope or meeting the requirements of a successful retest of…
Sunday, August 7, 2011 Uncertainty Markets can lose their equilibrium from a variety of sources. One of my first notes in March attempted to describe that dynamic in a series of charts titled, Where Reflexivity Meets Equilibrium. One condition that can…
Thursday, January 29, 2015 Two Ships Pass in the Night Ships that pass in the night, and speak each other in passing, only a signal shown, and a distant voice in the darkness; So on the ocean of life, we…
Thursday, September 1, 2011 Turbulence Below is a series of the same study in different time frames. It is a correlation study of the US dollar and the euro. As you can see quite clearly in the daily chart –…
Friday, December 12, 2014 Turning Up the Heat in Europe One of our better pairs strategies this year was playing the breakout in Japan from its nearly 25 year trading range and the turn down in Europe that materialized at…