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Monday, September 12, 2011
Meridian Market Theory – Update
Since floating the Meridian Market Theory in late March – the market has respected the meridian and was subsequently strongly rejected by it. To simply discount this chart as novel and cute in light of the recent market swoon – would be ignoring historical precedent and a possible outline for what lies ahead.
I find it quite interesting that from a structural (price) perspective, the previous two trading environments (1994 and 1987) where the market was rejected by the meridian are quite similar to our current structure. Namely, there was a waterfall decline – followed by a trading range that initially appeared as a bearish continuation pattern – but was in fact just a consolidation before the market returned to the primary trend.
With the daily comparisons to 2008, it should be noted that the primary difference today – from a structural perspective – is the equity markets were working towards resistance – not support. This gives credibility towards my suspicion that once the markets works through the many issues in Europe – the primary uptrend will resume.
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